Gilena C.F. vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilena C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SUE
6 - 1
GIL
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GIL
5 - 0
FER
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 1
GIL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GIL
4 - 0
AGU
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALJ
0 - 3
GIL
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
SAN
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CIR
3 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
VEN
36%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CAD
7 - 1
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -8 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
CAL
1 - 3
MEL
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |