Gil Vicente U19 vs Tondela U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
3º
7
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BOA
2 - 0
GFC
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
GFC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GFC
4 - 1
RIO
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 2
GFC
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 0
ANA
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TON
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
TON
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TON
1 - 3
RIO
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GON
1 - 1
TON
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
GFC
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |