Gil Vicente U23 vs Farense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
3º
32
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
GIL
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GIL
5 - 4
POR
65%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 3
GIL
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
VIZ
2 - 1
GIL
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 2
EST
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
FAR
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 3
FAR
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |