Gibraltar vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 0
GIB
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GIB
0 - 0
FRO
30%
21%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
GIB
0 - 0
GRD
35%
22%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
GIB
1 - 3
LVA
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TUR
6 - 0
GIB
92%
6%
1%
|
43 | 86 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
MKD
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
3 - 1
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
0 - 5
MKD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |