Gibraltar United vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
GIB
4 - 0
GIP
95%
5%
1%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
JOS
2 - 0
GIB
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
NEB
1 - 7
GIB
1%
10%
89%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
NEU
3 - 0
GIB
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NEU
8 - 0
GIB
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
LRI
3 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
LRI
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GLA
1 - 1
LRI
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
LRI
3 - 1
GIB
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
LRI
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |