Giana Erminio vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
VNZ
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
GER
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
GER
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 0
GER
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 0
PAV
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAV
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |