Ghivizzano Borgo vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ASG
3 - 0
GHI
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GHI
2 - 3
FOL
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 2
ACS
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
USP
4 - 0
GHI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -4 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 1
GHI
14%
19%
68%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 1
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 2
PIA
35%
28%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SSD
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
GAV
19%
24%
58%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |