Gharghur vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gharghur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 2
ZEJ
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MSI
0 - 1
GHA
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 3
PAT
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
4 - 3
KIR
47%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
5 - 1
GHA
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
KIR
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 2
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
MSI
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZEJ
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAB
0 - 5
MAR
30%
24%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |