Gharghur vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gharghur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
QOR
1 - 1
GHA
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GHA
0 - 2
KIR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 4
GHA
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
MGA
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SGC
0 - 2
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
VIT
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |