Gharghur vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gharghur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GHA
4 - 2
MDI
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 4
GHA
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GHA
2 - 3
SIG
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
KIR
1 - 3
GHA
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 2
MQA
31%
25%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MDI
1 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 3
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +5 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SIG
2 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
KIR
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |