Düren vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VFL
2 - 2
DUR
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SVD
0 - 4
DUR
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DUR
5 - 0
ALT
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PES
1 - 2
DUR
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 0
BGP
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVD
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SCF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
PES
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BGP
4 - 1
SCF
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 0
SVB
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |