Düren vs Alemannia Mariadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCB
2 - 1
DUR
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
1 - 0
NIE
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
IHN
3 - 2
DUR
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DUR
3 - 2
VFL
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GET
0 - 3
DUR
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Mariadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
HBE
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 2
SVR
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SFD
1 - 5
ALE
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BGP
2 - 1
ALE
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 2
HEW
33%
23%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |