Düren vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability

1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.6%
Win probability

1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-53%
+16%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
16º
10º
53
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
![]() |
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
![]() |
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
![]() |
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
![]() |
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
28% | |
![]() |
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
![]() |
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
90% | |
![]() |
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
![]() |
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
![]() |
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
100% | 78% |
Relegation
|
0% | 22% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
![]() 0 - 3
![]() DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
19 Nov. 2022 |
WIE
![]() 3 - 0
![]() DUR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
12 Nov. 2022 |
DUR
![]() 1 - 2
![]() WAT
49%
22%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
05 Nov. 2022 |
RWA
![]() 1 - 2
![]() DUR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
29 Oct. 2022 |
DUR
![]() 0 - 2
![]() WUP
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
![]() 3 - 1
![]() ROT
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
19 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
![]() 0 - 0
![]() KMA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
11 Nov. 2022 |
S04
![]() 0 - 0
![]() AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
05 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
![]() 3 - 1
![]() ROD
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
29 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() LIP
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |