Gesztely vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.8%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
91.6%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
11.1%
1-5
4.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.7%
0-5
8.4%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
11.8%
0-6
5.3%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.1%
0-7
2.8%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.7%
0-8
1.3%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.7%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gesztely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GES
5 - 0
HAJ
29%
21%
51%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BSE
1 - 3
GES
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASR
1 - 0
GES
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CIG
7 - 2
GES
84%
10%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GES
0 - 1
SAJ
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MTK
2 - 1
DIO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DVS
1 - 3
MTK
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 0
KTE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 0
VAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZTE
2 - 1
MTK
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |