Gestel vs t Zand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gestel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
GEM
9 - 1
GES
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GES
1 - 7
DEL
18%
17%
64%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CHE
12 - 0
GES
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GES
2 - 5
EHC
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GES
0 - 5
BLA
24%
20%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOC
0 - 4
TZA
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TZA
2 - 3
SVM
80%
12%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TIL
0 - 0
TZA
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOE
0 - 3
TZA
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TZA
1 - 2
GOE
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |