Gestel vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
45.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gestel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RKA
1 - 0
GES
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GES
1 - 1
GRO
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GES
1 - 0
HAL
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DEL
5 - 2
GES
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GES
1 - 1
CHE
63%
18%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 3
DEL
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
45%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 1
EHC
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEM
3 - 1
CHE
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 3
GEM
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |