SD Gernika vs Zarauzko Ke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 2
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
LEI
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EIB
0 - 0
GER
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 1
GER
39%
28%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zarauzko Ke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BFC
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BEA
0 - 0
ZAR
85%
10%
4%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ELG
15%
22%
62%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +1 |