SD Gernika vs SD Zamudio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
GER
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
EIB
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
CDV
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
27%
29%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Zamudio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 2
BFC
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BEA
1 - 2
ZAM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ELG
1 - 0
ZAM
38%
28%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ZAM
0 - 0
BAS
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |