SD Gernika vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 1
GER
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
GER
0 - 0
ENS
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
GER
2 - 1
RAY
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 1
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
GER
5 - 0
CDG
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
UPL
1 - 0
ATH
36%
30%
34%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
ARO
1 - 2
UPL
50%
29%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
UPL
1 - 1
CAU
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
RCF
3 - 1
UPL
74%
18%
8%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
UPL
1 - 2
SSC
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |