SD Gernika vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
35.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
LUG
1 - 0
GER
72%
19%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
26%
30%
44%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
TUR
3 - 1
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
GER
1 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
SPB
0 - 1
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
UPL
2 - 2
TUR
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PON
1 - 1
UPL
58%
26%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
UPL
1 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
4%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
GRA
0 - 0
UPL
39%
33%
28%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
UPL
3 - 0
DEP
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |