SD Gernika vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 0
GER
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
RUN
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UES
1 - 0
GER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CLH
3 - 1
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TUD
1 - 1
LEI
34%
29%
38%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SDA
1 - 1
TUD
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
TUD
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TUD
2 - 1
GIM
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TUD
1 - 0
CDV
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |