SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDV
2 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
1 - 3
GER
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
GER
2 - 1
SFC
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GER
5 - 2
SNT
77%
16%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
CDU
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 0
SNT
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SES
3 - 0
TOL
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 3
VAD
3%
12%
85%
|
25 | 81 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
BFC
27%
26%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |