SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PAS
2 - 3
GER
38%
29%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
GER
0 - 0
SFC
44%
29%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
CDG
4 - 0
GER
59%
24%
16%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
BEA
31%
30%
39%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
AUR
2 - 1
GER
45%
29%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
TOL
1 - 0
ARE
57%
28%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ELG
1 - 0
TOL
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
48%
29%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
ADC
2 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
TOL
1 - 0
LON
56%
27%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |