SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RUN
1 - 0
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
GER
1 - 1
ALA
45%
28%
27%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
CDG
1 - 1
GER
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
GER
0 - 0
DEU
52%
26%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
AUR
0 - 1
GER
71%
20%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
TOL
2 - 1
SFC
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
ARE
3 - 1
TOL
77%
16%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
TOL
0 - 0
SDE
44%
29%
27%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
MUT
4 - 3
TOL
66%
21%
13%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
TOL
1 - 1
AFT
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |