SD Gernika vs Santutxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GER
3 - 1
IKE
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
GER
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 1
GER
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GER
2 - 1
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GER
0 - 1
ATH
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santutxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFC
26%
26%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFC
2 - 0
SES
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
0 - 2
SFC
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 1
CDU
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SNT
0 - 1
SFC
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |