SD Gernika vs Santutxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
TOL
1 - 0
GER
55%
27%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
GER
4 - 1
RUN
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ALA
1 - 2
GER
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
GER
1 - 0
CDG
50%
26%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
DEU
2 - 4
GER
70%
20%
10%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santutxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
EIB
4 - 0
SFC
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
SFC
1 - 1
TOL
61%
22%
16%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
RUN
2 - 1
SFC
63%
21%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
SFC
2 - 1
ALA
52%
26%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
CDG
2 - 3
SFC
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |