Segunda RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 0-3
SD Gernika vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 1
GER
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 1
SJU
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BEA
3 - 2
GER
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GER
0 - 2
ARE
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
32%
28%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 3
OUR
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
AVI
15%
25%
60%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |