SD Gernika vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GER
5 - 2
RRI
54%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 3
GER
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GER
0 - 2
ARE
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SJU
1 - 1
GER
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
OSA
10%
20%
70%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SES
1 - 0
PEÑ
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RAC
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 1
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
NAX
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |