SD Gernika vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PON
0 - 0
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
CHA
58%
26%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
GIM
1 - 1
GER
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
GER
0 - 2
OSA
32%
30%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CDO
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 2
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDO
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDO
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |