Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 2-1
SD Gernika vs Osasuna Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
JER
39%
30%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
GER
43%
29%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 3
OSA
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
3 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 2
OSA
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |