SD Gernika vs Oiartzun KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
PAS
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GER
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
CLU
64%
22%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 1
GER
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oiartzun KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
OIA
0 - 0
BFC
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RET
0 - 2
OIA
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OIA
2 - 1
SOD
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OIA
1 - 1
ALA
25%
24%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAS
3 - 2
OIA
43%
25%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |