SD Gernika vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ZAR
2 - 3
GER
43%
28%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
GER
1 - 2
RSO
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
GIM
1 - 0
GER
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
GER
1 - 0
HUE
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ZAL
1 - 0
GER
29%
30%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
NUM
5 - 2
CLU
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUM
40%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 0
LEM
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
CUL
0 - 0
NUM
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 0
ATH
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |