Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
SD Gernika vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
BFC
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 2
GER
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
RSO
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BEA
0 - 0
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
CLL
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
MER
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MER
4 - 2
CAM
72%
19%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
MER
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |