SD Gernika vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
COM
3 - 0
GER
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 0
CUL
22%
30%
49%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
GER
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
CDO
23%
30%
47%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PON
0 - 0
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AUR
2 - 0
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
CEL
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ALA
5 - 0
LUG
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |