SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
ARE
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RUN
5 - 4
GER
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GER
0 - 4
RSO
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 0
GER
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
TUD
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SDA
3 - 2
LEI
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARE
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LEI
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 0
RUN
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CDV
0 - 1
LEI
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |