SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ATX
0 - 0
GER
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GER
5 - 0
SLV
75%
18%
7%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AMU
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GER
0 - 0
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ELG
2 - 0
GER
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEI
3 - 3
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LAU
3 - 0
LEI
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LEI
3 - 0
SNT
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ARE
1 - 2
LEI
60%
23%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LEI
0 - 3
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |