Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 3-2
SD Gernika vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
31.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
GER
43%
29%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
BFC
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 2
GER
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
GER
43%
29%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
EUR
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
EUR
1 - 0
JER
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
EXT
1 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
AZU
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |