SD Gernika vs Eibar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
CDV
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
27%
29%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
2 - 2
GER
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 3
EIB
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
EIB
1 - 0
BEA
23%
27%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ELG
2 - 0
EIB
39%
28%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
EIB
2 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
EIB
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |