SD Gernika vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
80.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
18.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
BEA
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 2
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GER
0 - 0
UDL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 2
GER
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 3
CEL
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
VIZ
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 1
BOA
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 6
CEL
4%
14%
82%
|
83 | 20 | 63 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 0
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |