SD Gernika vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
26.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALA
2 - 1
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
30%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ZAM
2 - 2
GER
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
GIM
31%
30%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 4
GER
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
PON
29%
27%
43%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
CEL
49%
29%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 2
CEL
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CEL
3 - 1
ALA
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 0
CEL
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |