SD Gernika vs CD Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
27%
29%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
2 - 2
GER
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
BEA
35%
28%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
CDV
2 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 1
CDV
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDV
3 - 2
ELG
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
CDV
72%
16%
11%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CDV
0 - 2
LAU
26%
27%
47%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |