SD Gernika vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 0
GER
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
34%
30%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
GER
0 - 0
LOG
26%
29%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BIN
0 - 2
GER
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
CDT
3 - 1
NOJ
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
TAL
1 - 0
CDT
44%
29%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
CDT
3 - 0
GIM
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDT
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |