SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CDG
0 - 1
GER
26%
27%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GER
2 - 2
BEA
38%
28%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
GER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELG
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDU
0 - 2
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 2
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
BFC
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CDG
1 - 1
AUR
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |