SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
ARE
53%
26%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 0
GER
36%
29%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GER
6 - 0
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 1
GER
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
SFC
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SES
3 - 0
AUR
60%
24%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
SNT
34%
28%
39%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 3
AUR
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 4
LEI
28%
26%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |