SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 4
GER
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
HER
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 5
GER
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
GER
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDU
3 - 0
BFC
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BEA
2 - 1
CDU
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CDU
2 - 1
ELG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
CDU
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CDU
1 - 0
LAU
37%
28%
36%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |