SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ARE
1 - 4
GER
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LON
0 - 1
GER
45%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GER
3 - 0
ZAR
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 2
GER
32%
28%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
SDA
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CDU
6 - 1
ORD
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CDU
2 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 2
CDU
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 2
GER
32%
28%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CDU
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |