SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ELG
1 - 3
GER
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 0
GER
35%
29%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
AFT
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CLU
1 - 1
GER
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
POR
26%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 2
SFC
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
CDG
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |