SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 2
GER
35%
28%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
GER
1 - 2
SDA
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARE
2 - 0
GER
33%
29%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GER
1 - 1
ELG
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GER
34%
28%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
SFC
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SES
1 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
AMU
2 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
SNT
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 4
LEI
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |