SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CDU
1 - 1
GER
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GER
2 - 1
BEA
31%
29%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
LON
26%
30%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ZAL
2 - 0
GER
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
GER
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZAL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 0
BAS
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
SNT
71%
19%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAS
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
EIB
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |