SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SNT
1 - 2
GER
17%
28%
55%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
GER
0 - 0
ARE
59%
26%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CDG
0 - 2
GER
22%
28%
51%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GER
1 - 0
SDI
61%
25%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SDA
0 - 0
GER
29%
29%
42%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZAM
68%
20%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SES
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ELG
2 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |